1/5/2009
Monday morning

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Yes, there is a fair value for the Nasdaq futures (and all other stock index futures). It is even easier to calculate and arbitrage because there are only 100 stocks in the index. Yes, there are buy/sell programs for the Nasdaq 100. If you have a large portfolio, you could look into basket trading with one of the major brokerage firms and then just get a real time data feed into your spreadsheet and you could try arbing it yourself. (Probably not worth it, though. Unless you can figure out some way that youll be able to do it with an edge over everyone else doing it.)
ik ben een tech-fan (ik doe zelf ook een IT opleiding) en zit dan ook redelijk in de IT-aandelen omdat ik meen dat de vooruitzichten op lange termijn erg rooskleurig zijn. Nu vraag ik me af of er meer mensen zijn die het volgende spel weleens spelen; ik volg de Nasdaq futures vrij goed en bemerk dat tot de opening van de Nasdaq de Nederlandse beleggingsfondsen amper op de Nasdaq futures reageren. Zo kan het bijvoorbeeld voorkomen dat de futures 2% in de plus (of min) staan, maar de beleggingsfondsen hier niet of nauwelijks op reageren. Zodra de Nasdaq echter daadwerkelijk die 2% in de plus (of min) opent, reageren de beleggingsfondsen hier vaak binnen een kwartier tot half uur naar verhouding op. Door nu te kijken hoe de futures staan voor opening van de Nasdaq, een passende transactie uit te voeren op een ICT-beleggingsfonds en na opening van de Nasdaq de omgekeerde transactie uit te voeren is zo nu en dan een mooi extra rendement te genereren. Voorwaarde is wel dat de Nasdaq futures.
Paul wrote in message news:pbboetsdrr6a1ufak1s3f7cc12hmokjiml@4ax.com... Greetings: My question is whether or not a any sort of fair value is calculated for NASDAQ futures like it is for the SP500. I am wondering if the buy/sell programs which automatically kick in when you deviate x amount from FV on the SP500 apply to the NQ or ND as well. Also, is fair value re-calculated every morning based on current interest rate/dividend info. or is it updated more (or less) frequently? Thanks - Paul
When the market actually opened the Nasdaq went South. Since the numbers I found under the heading of NSDQ100 and ENasdaq were so far away from the CNBC numbers I have to think they are not the same.
Another suggestion is to use the pit traded Nasdaq and E-Mini Nasdaq together. Either use the E-mini to scale in or out of a position and use the pit traded contract opposite. You need to be careful and keep everything straight (which takes an effort), but this helps use the illiquidity and volatility to your advantage. Five E-mini contracts can be offset in the back office versus one big contract, so you dont have to worry about unwinding positions.
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